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The Times

The US presidential election might be closer than the polls suggest (if we can trust them this time)

  • Written by Simon Jackman, Chief Executive Officer, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
The US presidential election might be closer than the polls suggest (if we can trust them this time)AP

With less than two months until the US presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads incumbent Donald Trump in the bulk of opinion polls.

But poll-based election forecasts have proved problematic before. The polls were widely maligned after the 2016 election because Trump won the election when the majority of the polling said he...

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