final polls suggest NZ First likely kingmaker as the left makes late gains
- Written by Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
After political polls between March and August showed a clear trend towards the right, polls since late August have shown the reverse. Remove a resurgent NZ First from the mix, and the left and right blocs are now polling closely.
The emergence of NZ First as potential kingmaker has seen warnings, particularly from the National Party, of an...