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The Times

The 2020 NZ election saw record vote volatility — what does that mean for the next Labour government?

  • Written by Jack Vowles, Professor of Political Science, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
The 2020 NZ election saw record vote volatility — what does that mean for the next Labour government?GettyImages

As the dust begins to settle after the 2020 election, a new electoral landscape becomes visible. It is remarkably different from the one before.

One way to put this in perspective is by measuring what we call “vote volatility” — the net vote shift between parties from one election to the next. By this calculation the...

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