Over the last 30 years, a fifth of polls have called the wrong winner. Here are 3 things poll-watchers need to understand
- Written by Murray Goot, Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
With voting already underway, and the sausage sizzle less than two weeks away, there are three things worth knowing if you are trying to work out which side is most likely to win:
- the likely result in terms of the two-party preferred vote
- the record of the electoral pendulum, based on the two-party preferred vote, in predicting election outcomes,...
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