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The Times

The climate won't warm as much as we feared – but it will warm more than we hoped

  • Written by Steven Sherwood, ARC Laureate Fellow, Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW
The climate won't warm as much as we feared – but it will warm more than we hopedShutterstock

We know the climate changes as greenhouse gas concentrations rise, but the exact amount of expected warming remains uncertain.

Scientists study this in terms of “equilibrium climate sensitivity” – the temperature rise for a sustained doubling of carbon dioxide concentrations. Equilibrium climate sensitivity has long...

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