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The Times

This economic model tipped the last 2 elections – and it's now pointing to a Coalition win

  • Written by Peter Martin, Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
This economic model tipped the last 2 elections – and it's now pointing to a Coalition winshutterstock

This election will be won by the Coalition and Prime Minister Scott Morrison if the economic models perform as expected – and they usually do.

A model refined in 2000 by then Melbourne University economists Lisa Cameron and Mark Crosby found that most federal election results in records going back to 1901 can be predicted pretty...

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